Nigeria's Climate Concern And Impacts On Insecurity

 


Regarding Nigeria's importance in Africa, it is easy to understand the world's interest in the affairs that occur regarding the highly populated nation. Nigeria is a multi-ethnic and culturally diverse federation of 36 autonomous states, and the Federal Capital Territory. It is popularly described as the giant of Africa due to its high population and leading economy in Africa (World Bank, 2023). Nigeria, on the other hand, is not popular with its self-sufficiency and social security. Merriam- Webster defines self-sufficiency and social security as being able to maintain oneself or itself without outside aid: capable of providing for one's own needs (Merriam-Webster, 2023). Despite being Africa's largest oil and gas producer, Nigeria has a problem of relying almost entirely on expensive imports to meet its gasoline needs. Nigeria currently has four state-owned refineries, but they have become dilapidated and idle due to mismanagement (Kohlmann & Schwikowski, 2023). In 2021, Nigeria exported around $41.8B in Crude Petroleum. The main destinations of Nigeria's exports of Crude Petroleum were India ($8.11B), Spain ($5.38B), the United States ($2.84B), France ($2.55B), and South Africa ($2.17B) (OEC, 2021). The large volume of exported crude oil tells how Nigeria consequently imports most of its refined oil and exemplifies on its lack of self-sufficiency.

According to the World Bank, Nigeria has one of the highest poverty rates in the world, with over 40% of the population living below the poverty line (World Bank Group, 2020). The high poverty leads to the citizens needing external support to live sustainably and support their families. Many Nigerians can survive and support themselves through a number of government programs and NGO (Non- Governmental Organisation) assistance, as well as their informal economic activities. The Nigerian social security program is seen to be considerably limited and opaque. The nation has an administration called the Nigerian Social Insurance Trust Fund which provides various benefits and services to eligible contributors, including pension benefits and maternity benefits, to name a couple (Ademola et al., 2023). The setbacks of low funding, poor management and government corruption make it difficult for Nigerians to rely on this support system or even claim it.

Nigeria's climate and environmental issues have made self-sufficiency more difficult, as some issues have been seen to appear in many communities. Climate change is a significant issue in Africa, with the continent particularly vulnerable to its effects. The climate situation is an issue the United Nations and other organisations take very seriously, and many scientists have argued that action is greatly needed (UN, Climate Change 2023). Nigeria has faced droughts and intense flooding in many areas, with extreme weather indications being more common in recent years (Prevention-Web, 2022). Extreme weather and other intense environmental occurrences could have a devastating effect on the nation's agriculture and habitability, which could translate to even more worry regarding the self-sufficiency of the citizens.

The climate change situation in Nigeria is not a recent event but is becoming increasingly popular and a topic of much importance. There are not many known works on the influence the climate change situation has on the influence of citizen's self-sufficiency and social security; however, there are similar research papers that analyse the relations to food security and public health (Wright et al., 2020) which are relevant for this article. The limits of the social security provided by the Nigerian Government to a population of 200 million plus citizens make the curiosity of how much of an impact climate change will have crucial. Demographic projections show that the Nigerian population might experience a constant increase in the next decades. By 2050, it is forecast that the population will grow to over 377 million people compared to 2022 (Sasu, 2022). The high population growth rate elaborates the importance of the topic, especially if the climate change risk has a major influence on the social security and self-sufficiency of the citizens. Moreover, the findings could also be used as an indication for other African nations and a guide on the possible future of the people.

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